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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 2.8% on 8 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. $26.35K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 2.8% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 580 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 307 |
| SucukAbi | Yes | 200.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referenced Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sam-altman-in-jail-by
| tchiko7 | Yes | 155.26 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147.98 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 72 |
| DeuceyMania | Yes | 69.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 60.42 |
| A.Nevermind | Yes | 60 |
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