Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 25 Jan 2026 and the low 11.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 99.5% on 25 Jan 2026. $498.27 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 11 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 60.22 |
| b00k13 | No | 50 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 25 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 24 2026 If Sharks wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.unitedrugby.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruurc-sto-sha-2026-01-24
New to prediction markets?
