Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.6%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 22 Mar 2026, the highest close was 95.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 86.5% on 10 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 6:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 92.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 619.69 |
| mdgc | No | 93.95 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 21.43 |
| 0xjanestreet | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 22 2026 If Stormers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.unitedrugby.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruurc-sto-dra-2026-03-22
New to prediction markets?
| paspor | No | 0.02 |
| Scornful-Conductor | No | 0.01 |
