Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 34.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 72% on 24 Sep 2026 and the low 52% on 13 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 64% on 21 Sep 2026. $72.68 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 9:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 13 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 52.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Moksha98 | Yes | 53.4 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.29 |
| sweise | Yes | 10.09 |
| egrsafvafvaer | Yes | 5 |
| Azure Orbit 35DA | No | 0.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 25 2026 If Connacht wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruurc-con-sto-2026-09-25
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