Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 22 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 19 Mar 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 36.5% on 22 Mar 2026.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.36 |
| Tart-Border | Yes | 1.19 |
| JMOU | Yes | 1.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 21 2026 If Toulon wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.lnr.fr/top-14
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rutopft-tou-sta-2026-03-21
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