Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 24 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 28 Aug 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 43.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $264.94 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 24 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 52.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5 2026 If Lyon Rugby wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rutopft-lyo-asm-2026-09-05
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