Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 7 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 99.5% on 7 Sep 2026. $415.13 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 3.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 6 2026 If La Rochelle wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rutopft-la-tou2-2026-09-06
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