Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 0.1% on 29 Mar 2026. $2.19K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fuzzy-Shift | Yes | 392.52 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 170.36 |
| Elastic-Loaf | Yes | 27.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 28 2026 If La Rochelle wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.lnr.fr/top-14
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rutopft-bay-la-2026-03-28
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