Analytics
Resolved Up on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Up at 20%. The Up side was at 50% at 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 50% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 20% on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. $13.57K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 3:22 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | Down | 849.97 |
| grasstoucher69 | Up | 483.67 |
| autriche | Down | 22.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rut-up-or-down-on-october-22-2026
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