Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50% on 9 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Nov 2025. $1.52K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 42.0% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.22K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 117 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 110 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Russell 2000 (RUT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ERUT/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ERUT/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rut-above-on-november-14-2025
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