Russian Ruble ₽120 to $1 USD in November?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$50.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 28 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2024 to 1 Dec 2024, the highest close was 17.5% on 28 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 3.5% on 29 Nov 2024. $50.66K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 5:09 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Nov 2024 – 1 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Nov 2024	17.5%
1 Dec 2024	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Anonime	Yes	382.83
Wary-Detail	Yes	285.71
rasu	Yes	111.11
taudien	Yes	111.11

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Russian Ruble (RUB) price / exchange rate of one US Dollar (USD) hits ₽120.000 or greater at any time between November 27 and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The primary resolution source for this market will be the mid-market rates on the foreign exchange platform XE: https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1D, specifically the "high" price within the market timeframe. This market will resolve on midmarket prices with a 10-min resolution, however the "high" price for the time period of this market will be sufficient.