Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 15 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 5% on 15 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Mar 2024. $49.1K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 15 Feb 2024 – 1 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 1.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation places a nuclear weapon in space (an altitude of 50+ miles above sea level) by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russian-nuke-in-space-by-march-31
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