Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the low 2.5% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 36.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $705.82 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 9:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 9 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ludwig14 | Yes | 283.01 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 181.92 |
| Runny-Tune | Yes | 100.21 |
| Iamok1020 | Yes | 37.75 |
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 10 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 0.5 |
| paspor | Yes | 0.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 1 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://super.rugby/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rusrp-hur-cru-2026-05-01
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