Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2026 to 24 Apr 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 14% on 24 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 14% on 24 Apr 2026. $1.09K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 9:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 24 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.44 |
| Flaky-Pelican | Yes | 66.08 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24 2026 If Waratahs wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://super.rugby/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rusrp-cru-war-2026-04-24
New to prediction markets?
