Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 20.5% on 22 Jan 2026. $29.4K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 3.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.01K |
| Glistening-Heart | Yes | 5.16K |
| Hot-Anyone | Yes | 1K |
| Foolish-Virus | Yes | 202.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 15 2026 If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.sixnationsrugby.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rusixnat-wal-fra-2026-02-15
New to prediction markets?
| Celticpride | Yes | 193.54 |
| bigaden2 | Yes | 159.5 |
| adspokposs | Yes | 111.79 |
| dodoherty | Yes | 100 |
| dramatizepoker890 | Yes | 66.67 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 50 |
