Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 3 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 3 Aug 2026 and the low 42% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 44% on 10 Aug 2026. $10.58 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 3 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 43.5% |
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In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rus-bal-spa-2026-08-16-halftime-result
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