Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 5% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the price held at 5%. $107.65 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 4:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | 5.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 92.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for September 5 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve Yes if the match is tied after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time. Otherwise, it will resolve No. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If the match is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, this market will resolve Yes. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rurgr-rsa-nzl-2026-09-05
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