Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 73% on 28 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 23 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 65.5% on 26 Aug 2026. $26.49K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 10:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 23 Aug 2026 – 30 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Aug 2026 | 60.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fitting-Pickle | No | 802.7 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 677.27 |
| starmagi | No | 180.72 |
| themarketsniper | Yes | 99.94 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 77.77 |
| PredictJon | No | 50 |
| Source87 | Yes | 27.13 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 3.98 |
| izowooi-naver | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for August 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve Yes if South Africa is leading after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time. Otherwise, it will resolve No. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If the match is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, this market will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rurgr-rsa-nzl-2026-08-29
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