Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 5% on 22 Aug 2026. $522.02 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| merod | Yes | 794.99 |
| Crimson Falcon 8C6F | Yes | 166.67 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for August 22 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve Yes if the match is tied after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time. Otherwise, it will resolve No. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If the match is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, this market will resolve Yes. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rurgr-rsa-nzl-2026-08-22
| GamblingAddict12345 | Yes | 90 |
| Nifty-Garlic | Yes | 41.67 |
| Notradecopy | Yes | 34.99 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 15 |
| Golden Signal 35CC | Yes | 13.91 |
| romanew-10-0.5-sport | Yes | 6.19 |
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