Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 8.5% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 44.5% on 20 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 3:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 23 Feb 2026 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 47.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 265.58 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| Modern-Wolf | Yes | 130.58 |
| Feasad | Yes | 29.08 |
| Dearest-Embryo | Yes | 27.78 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| human.bean | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 6.16 |
| Sparkling-Rope | No | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 21 2026 If Newcastle Red Bulls wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.premiershiprugby.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruprem-nor-new-2026-03-21
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