Yes is at 46%, down 16 points from 62.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 46% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 62.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 46% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Premiership Rugby: Newcastle Red Bulls vs Sale Sharks”.
$4.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.38 since listing.
The largest Yes position is agm33 with 3 shares; the largest No position is mando88 with 4.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mando88 | No | 4.26 |
| agm33 | Yes | 3.13 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 1.13 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 23 2026 If Sale Sharks wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruprem-new-sal-2026-10-23
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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