Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 37% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 17% on 11 Oct 2026. $176.7 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 37.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| Malachitee | Yes | 6.25 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruprem-exe-new-2026-10-11
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