Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 14 Oct 2026. $171.3 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.52K |
| mouzsynapse | No | 6.74 |
| Alina-17 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18 2026 If Toulouse wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rueuchamp-tou-exe-2026-10-18
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