Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 21.5% on 2 May 2026. $9.53K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Reclamation | Yes | 6.38K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.14K |
| Notradecopy | Yes | 1.01K |
| RiverRyan | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2 2026 If Toulon wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution source: https://www.epcrugby.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rueuchamp-lei-tou2-2026-05-02
New to prediction markets?
| dominique-crispin | Yes | 160 |
| LW1990 | Yes | 100 |
| bibitibob | Yes | 60 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 52.57 |
| Focused-Intestine | Yes | 31.11 |
| Fennek | Yes | 13.16 |
