Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 5 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 35.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $10.52K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 5:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 5 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jyben13 | Yes | 1.42K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 461.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 17 2026 If ASM Clermont Auvergne wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rueuchamp-asm-lei-2026-10-17
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