Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2026.
$14.17 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 4.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Castres Olympique and Benetton Treviso, scheduled for October 18 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve Yes if Castres Olympique is leading after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time. Otherwise, it will resolve No. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If the match is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, this market will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rueuchall-cas-ben-2026-10-18
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