Analytics
Resolved Newcastle Knights on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Newcastle Knights at 35.5%. The New Zealand Warriors side opened at 64% on 15 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 20 Sep 2026, the highest close was 65% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 63% on 18 Sep 2026. $7.22K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 8:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the New Zealand Warriors price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026, chart shows 58%–70%
| Observed | New Zealand Warriors price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 64.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hidden-Dot | New Zealand Warriors | 4K |
| omnibus-076daa | New Zealand Warriors | 585.3 |
| Frightening-Editor | New Zealand Warriors | 99.99 |
| VitMo | New Zealand Warriors |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for September 20 2026. This market will resolve to "New Zealand Warriors" if New Zealand Warriors wins the match. It will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rlnrl-nzw-new-2026-09-20
| 20 |
| carelia | New Zealand Warriors | 15.11 |
| Forceful-Grabbag | New Zealand Warriors | 6.67 |
| Keen Raven 7DF9 | New Zealand Warriors | 5.1 |
| RadioFreeZerg | New Zealand Warriors | 0.12 |
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