Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 99.1% on 16 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2024 to 20 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 17 Jul 2024 and the lowest 98.5% on 18 Jul 2024. $4.79K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Jul 2024 – 20 Jul 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2024 | 99.1% |
| 20 Jul 2024 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sygnals | No | 333.33 |
| Cooked-Space | No | 5 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is approved for US Secret Service protection by July 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that RFK Jr. be approved to receive US Secret Service protection within timeframe, whether or not he has begun receiving it. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from RFK Jr. (e.g. https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr), his official representatives, and/or the US Secret Service (e.g. https://www.secretservice.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-secret-service-protection-by-friday
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