Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 18 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 26 Mar 2024, the highest close was 89% on 21 Mar 2024 and the lowest 62% on 25 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 71.5% on 22 Mar 2024. $193.42K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Mar 2024 – 26 Mar 2024, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2024 | 88.5% |
| 26 Mar 2024 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lalaf | No | 37.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicole Shanahan is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement of RFK Jr.'s running mate, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-picks-nicole-shanahan-as-running-mate
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