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Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 17 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 79% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 91.5% on 17 Jan 2025 and the low 79% on 15 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 91.5% on 17 Jan 2025. $12.14K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 7:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025, chart shows 75%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 79.0% |
| 17 Jan 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BDc6 | Yes | 1.06 |
| Cryptokrebs | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rednotexiaohongshu-1-app-on-friday
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