Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 12%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 28 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2025 to 14 Apr 2025, the highest close was 95% on 2 Apr 2025 and the lowest 58% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 95% on 2 Apr 2025. $44.36K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 28 Mar 2025 – 14 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2025 | 60.5% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | 88.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for March 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Mar 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for Mar 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/record-low-border-encounters-in-march
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