Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 17 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2025 to 18 Jun 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 17 Jun 2025 and the lowest 38% on 18 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38% on 18 Jun 2025. $34.51K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Jun 2025 – 18 Jun 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2025 | 49.5% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NotroMan | Yes | 5.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the FIFA Club World Cup match between Real Madrid and Al Hilal, scheduled for June 18, 2025 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both teams combine to score more than 3.5 goals in the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this match is cancelled or postponed past June 18, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/real-madrid-vs-al-hilal-4-goals-scored
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