Analytics
The Chimaev side is at 72.5%, up 1.5 points from 71% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 47.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
$167.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $196.93 since listing. The order book holds $663.4, with a 25.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Chimaev position is PYT06 with 158 shares; the largest Covington position is leegunner with 100.
Trading closes on 15 Nov 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:40 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Chimaev price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Chimaev price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 71.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PYT06 | Chimaev | 158.39 |
| leegunner | Covington | 100 |
| skybuyer24 | Covington | 39.01 |
This market will resolve to "Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner of the match against Colby Covington at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Covington" if Colby Covington is officially declared the winner. If the match ends level on points or in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Real American Freestyle, including any tiebreaker criteria. If no official winner is designated under those rules, or if the match is ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." If either wrestler is replaced, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real American Freestyle (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/real-american-freestyle-khamzat-chimaev-vs-colby-covington
| Mantzuraj |
| Covington |
| 36.25 |
| CheloBolso | Chimaev | 17.86 |
| Elastic-Tanktop | Chimaev | 11.24 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Covington | 5 |
| Helpful-Parcel-Surprise | Covington | 5 |
| 5560sfcn58d6 | Covington | 2.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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