Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 7 Feb 2026, the highest close was 85.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 67 points down, to 6.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $221.89K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 7 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 62.5% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 10.43K |
| p2ptrading24 | Yes | 7.5K |
| metatron69 | Yes | 7.05K |
| Dadby | Yes | 1.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Rainbow's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Rainbow doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rainbow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-676
| TonyPol | Yes | 368.2 |
| KARACAC | Yes | 335.75 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 240 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 224 |
| Stable-Midwife | Yes | 215.15 |
| royier | Yes | 205.26 |
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