Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 96 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 23% on 28 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 1.8% on 19 Dec 2024. $45.55K traded over the market's life.
155 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 23.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Voyager D16B | Yes | 2.45K |
| Emerald Sphinx 7CE8 | Yes | 241.04 |
| Golden Lynx 2A74 | Yes | 222.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between September 26 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 175.53 |
| maxeras | Yes | 155.11 |
| Keen Maven 1AFF | Yes | 141.94 |
| Golden Sphinx 87B5 | Yes | 119.59 |
| Neon Beacon B333 | Yes | 114.95 |
| Jade Vector 1900 | Yes | 100 |
| Amber Atlas AA1C | Yes | 92.73 |
