Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2023 to 2 Mar 2024, the highest close was 54.5% on 4 Jan 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 17 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 45.5% on 23 Dec 2023. $7.27K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 13 Dec 2023 – 2 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2023 | 50.0% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Dec 12, Rainbow Wallet announced "Rainbow Points — the first step towards including our community in the future success of Rainbow" (see https://twitter.com/rainbowdotme/status/1734700911719555580). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 11, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rainbow-airdrop-by-march-1
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