Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 26% on 14 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2023 to 2 Mar 2024, the highest close was 75% on 18 Jan 2024 and the lowest 3% on 29 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 51% on 26 Dec 2023. $4.14K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 14 Dec 2023 – 2 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2023 | 26.0% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| drain the swamp! | Yes | 250 |
| Lulz-239 | Yes | 62.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rabby launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 11, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rabby team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rabby-airdrop-by-march-1
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