Analytics
“Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs DarkZero Esports - Game 2 Winner” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - North America League Stage 1 Playoffs”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Jul 16, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 5 hourly price points from Jul 12, 2026 UTC to Jul 16, 2026 UTC (Yes between 38.5% and 46.5%); 2 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 7 recent public fills from 4 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket semifinal match between Shopify Rebellion and DarkZero Esports in the North America League Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 2 against DarkZero Esports. This market will resolve to "DarkZero Esports" if DarkZero Esports win Game 2 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/r6siege-sr-dz-2026-07-16
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Shopify Rebellion |
| 23.26 |
| Weepy-Item | Shopify Rebellion | 5 |