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Resolved Fnatic on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Fnatic at 62.5%. The CAG by VARREL side opened at 48% on 28 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the low 37.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 41% on 2 Aug 2026. $5.25K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the CAG by VARREL price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | CAG by VARREL price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Beneficial-Climate | CAG By VARREL | 124.64 |
| ducknhat | CAG By VARREL | 117.22 |
| Open-Essence | CAG By VARREL | 107.88 |
| aomendushen008 | CAG By VARREL | 100 |
| gaolou | CAG By VARREL | 77.86 |
| imake1mil | CAG By VARREL | 58 |
| 15perces | CAG By VARREL | 37 |
| Predictar | CAG By VARREL | 25.82 |
| Biodegradable-Fiction | CAG By VARREL | 25.26 |
| Simplistic-Questionnaire-Brand | CAG By VARREL | 22.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between CAG by VARREL and Fnatic in the Esports World Cup Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for August 4 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "CAG by VARREL" if CAG by VARREL win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against CAG by VARREL. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/r6siege-cag1-fnc-2026-08-04
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