
Resolved Fluxo W7M on 9 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Fluxo W7M at 58.5%. The Black Dragons e-Sports side was at 39.5% at 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC to 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 41.5% on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 39.5% on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. $5.57K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 11:06 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Black Dragons e-Sports price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Oct, 12:00 UTC – 9 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Black Dragons e-Sports price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 39.5% |
| 9 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phenompoker | Black Dragons E Sports | 300 |
| listapkana | Black Dragons E Sports | 171.17 |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Black Dragons E Sports | 145.05 |
| 1500chan | Black Dragons E Sports |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Black Dragons e-Sports and Fluxo W7M in the South America League Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Black Dragons e-Sports" if Black Dragons e-Sports win the match against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Black Dragons e-Sports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
| 129 |
| sbprinting | Black Dragons E Sports | 107.14 |
| zekesito2 | Black Dragons E Sports | 71.49 |
| chvidi | Black Dragons E Sports | 64 |
| stkomeghivott | Black Dragons E Sports | 63.68 |
| omnibus-076daa | Black Dragons E Sports | 47.65 |
| assasin5002 | Black Dragons E Sports | 43.53 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/r6siege-bd-fluxow-2026-10-09
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