Analytics
Yes is at 25%, about where the market opened on 26 Mar 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 8% on 28 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 44% on 29 Jun 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “QFEX FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.69K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $238.78, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $118.57 bought Yes and $810.75 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Meteor 7BFE with 241 shares; the largest No position is SuperTests with 279.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperTests | No | 278.65 |
| Quiet Meteor 7BFE | Yes | 240.98 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 40.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/qfex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| nastynian | No | 18 |
| bhy714 | No | 16 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 14.68 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 9.81 |
| hitfar | Yes | 9 |
| Impossible-Earth | No | 2 |
| xixihaha009 | No | 0.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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