Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 24% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 37% on 15 Jul 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 11 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 37% on 15 Jul 2025. $123.75K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 24.0% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hajii | Yes | 39.7K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.01K |
| backy | Yes | 10K |
| tradingEV | Yes | 2.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the fully diluted valuation of Pump.fun's token one day post-launch.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| polorna | Yes | 1.2K |
| Jade Vector 7E9D | Yes | 685.95 |
| tsourdi | Yes | 620.33 |
| itzypicks | Yes | 287.03 |
| USA-LaoLuan | Yes | 175.41 |
| xp122456 | Yes | 114.63 |
