
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 75% on 1 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 30.5% on 24 Feb 2024. $70.68K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 22 Feb 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.3% |
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 320 |
| Gregarious-Course | Yes | 200 |
| whocares? | Yes | 148.25 |
| richjosh | Yes | 105.26 |
| adsfs | Yes | 99.99 |
| 20888 | Yes | 47.62 |
| yizhimao | Yes | 45.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.