Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 9 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 30 Dec 2023 and the low 6.5% on 4 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 50% on 6 Jan 2024. $12K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 84 points · 9 Dec 2023 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2023 | 33.5% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Pudgy Penguins team (e.g. https://www.pudgypenguins.com/, https://twitter.com/pudgypenguins), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pudgy-penguins-airdrop-before-march
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