Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59%. Yes opened at 40% on 4 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 41% on 5 Jul 2025 and the lowest 40% on 4 Jul 2025. $43.13K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Jul 2025 – 5 Jul 2025, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | 40.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Quasar 6455 | Yes | 1K |
| Saba-Sako | Yes | 30 |
| V830 | Yes | 27.03 |
| Gtclima | Yes | 24.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the FIFA Club World Cup quarterfinals match between PSG and Bayern Munich, scheduled for July 5, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both teams combine to score more than 3.5 goals during regular time of the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market applies to regular time only (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout will not count for this market. If this match is cancelled or postponed past July 6, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/psg-vs-bayern-munich-4-goals-scored
| Amber Tide 1098 | Yes | 0.02 |
| HamidMadrid | Yes | 0.02 |
| EVplusrebate | No | 0.01 |
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