Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, up 12 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 21 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 37.5%; a month before, 37%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 11.5% on 21 Aug 2026.
The order book holds $3.57, with a 95.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Football League (NFL) officially announces the addition of a new team — whether through league expansion or the relocation of an existing franchise — whose official home market is located outside of the United States (inclusive of its territories), on or before February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (the end of the 2026-27 NFL season). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the team actually begins play. The announcement must be made through the NFL's official channels or by an authorized NFL representative, such as the Commissioner or a vote of NFL ownership. The hosting of international regular-season or preseason games outside the United States (for example, in London, Munich, Mexico City, or São Paulo) does not qualify — the team's official home market must be located outside the United States. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-new-team-announced-outside-the-united-states-by-2026-27-season-end
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