Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 27 Sep 2025, the highest close was 50% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 30% on 24 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30% on 24 Sep 2025. $51.01 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 27 Sep 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 27 Sep 2025 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Pulse 4A05 | Yes | 9.38 |
| Royal Tide F2A9 | Yes | 9.38 |
| Cosmic Scout 1753 | Yes | 9.38 |
| Rixen1117 | Yes | 9.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 27, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.ligaportugal.pt/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/por-ama-avs-2025-09-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Coral Falcon 1F59 | Yes | 6.25 |
| Violet Meteor 0885 | Yes | 3.13 |
| 2j289uUmAio7ap245975 | Yes | 3.03 |
