
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 11 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 6.5% on 12 Apr 2024. $43.72K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 10:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 11 Apr 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| misterio21 | Yes | 55.56 |
| dfwg11 | No | 25.53 |
| ClarkP002 | Yes | 2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
qqq
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.43 |
| TYIRYIUOTUIO | Yes | 0.95 |
| MM007 | No | 0.9 |
| YRDTYTDIKDYU | Yes | 0.48 |
| 65fd3gh1d56fg | No | 0.01 |