Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2024 to 7 Dec 2024, the highest close was 38% on 4 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 8.5% on 6 Dec 2024. $254.53K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 6:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 38.0% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sd2333 | Yes | 1K |
| fortitudo67 | Yes | 150 |
| NLo | Yes | 18.52 |
| Moist-Residence | No | 15.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth is withdrawn as Trump's presumptive nominee for Secretary of Defense by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Hegseth or Trump or one of his official representatives that Hegseth will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-nomination-withdrawn-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dexandcex | Yes | 5 |
| Eflectiow2 | No | 0.22 |
| 0xasd | Yes | 0.09 |
| xccdfds | No | 0.06 |
| eeettt | Yes | 0.05 |
| benitoy | Yes | 0.04 |
