Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 15% on 19 Dec 2025. $11.47K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| user51157846579381563 | Yes | 3.56K |
| Stattowins | Yes | 443.48 |
| DumbMoney2.0 | Yes | 418.6 |
| Jade Pulse 462D | Yes | 192.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the outcome of the boxing match between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19 at the Kaseya Center in Miami. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either fighter wins the fight by Knockout (KO) or Technical Knockout (TKO), including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage, in the first round of the fight. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the fight officially ends via TKO between rounds 1 & 2, it will be considered to have ended in round 1. A Disqualification (DQ) or Technical Decision will not be considered a TKO or KO. If this fight is ruled a no contest, is canceled, is postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no KO/TKO finish in the first round, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be the official result of the fight; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paul-vs-joshua-round-1-kotko-553
| leegunner | Yes | 177.68 |
| Emerald Tide DB9C | Yes | 138.46 |
| Rab9874 | Yes | 135.15 |
| Informal-Threshold | Yes | 100 |
| Eweman | Yes | 63.6 |
| Proper-Inflammation | Yes | 49.62 |
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